Daniel Rincon vs Luca Nardi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How do players fare on their second serve? Over the past six months, Rincon slightly edges Nardi by winning 46.79% compared to Nardi's 45.17% on second serve points.
• In returning opponents’ serves, Rincon has the advantage. He has won 46.82% of second serve returns while Nardi has a lower percentage at 45.37%. For first serve returns, Rincon also leads with 27.79% against Nardi's 23.86%.
• Under pressure, Nardi has saved more breakpoints, with a 57.54% save rate, compared to Rincon's 52.78%. Does this indicate Nardi performs better in critical moments?
• When comparing match wins over the last year, Rincon has a higher win rate of 57.14% compared to Nardi's 51.52%.
• Considering their best surfaces, Rincon's strongest performance is on indoor hard courts, where he has a 67% win rate, compared to Nardi's best on hard courts at 59%.
• Both players have appeared in predominantly Challengers/ITF tournaments over $10K, but Nardi has a better record, winning 67.74% of matches, compared to Rincon's 58%.
• In head-to-head matchups, Rincon has won the only match between them, emphasizing a potential psychological edge.
• Rincon has played against lower-ranked opponents on average, with their opponents averaging a rank of 294.49, compared to Nardi's 178.77, possibly indicating tougher competition for Nardi.
• In deciding sets, Rincon again has a slight advantage, winning 62% compared to Nardi's 53% in matches over the past year.
• Effective conversion of breakpoint opportunities shows Rincon ahead, with a 34.97% conversion rate against Nardi's 27.32%.

Editorial Prediction (June 3, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match leans slightly in Daniel Rincon's favor based on current form and past performances. While both players demonstrate impressive skills under pressure, Rincon's superior return game and breakpoint conversion rate provide him with a tactical edge.

Additionally, Rincon's successful history against Nardi in their prior matchups suggests a psychological advantage. Playing primarily against players with lower average rankings could also indicate Rincon's ability to capitalize on opportunities when presented.

Given these factors, Daniel Rincon is anticipated to be the likely victor in the forthcoming encounter.